Practice / The Thinking · 05
Exercise 05 · The Thinking

The Decision Journey

Part One

The Scenario

Markus, Account Executive at a provider of energy monitoring and optimisation systems, had been tracking a port logistics operator for most of the year. The operator ran three bulk terminals on the Norwegian west coast and had been signalling publicly that energy costs were a strategic priority. Markus had sent a note to the Director of Infrastructure in April. He was told the timing was not right. In September, an RFQ arrived.

The document was detailed. It specified integration requirements with the operator's existing control systems, referenced particular measurement intervals that are non-standard in the industry, and included evaluation criteria that weighted total cost of ownership over a five-year horizon rather than upfront investment. Markus recognised the structure immediately. This brief had been written by someone who already understood the problem well. He submitted a strong response and was shortlisted to three.

He did not win. In the debrief, the Director of Infrastructure was candid. A competing provider had been engaged informally since the previous autumn. They had participated in two internal workshops as the operator was thinking through its energy strategy. They had helped frame the evaluation criteria. By the time the RFQ was issued, the operator already understood how they thought about the problem. The decision had not been made. But the conditions for the decision had been shaped.

Markus had a strong solution. His pricing was competitive. His references were relevant. None of that was the issue. The issue was that he entered the process at Evaluation, responding to a brief that had been written without him. His competitor had been present during Exploration, when the brief was still being defined.

The debrief question Markus asked was the wrong one. He asked the Director what he could have done differently in the proposal. The question he needed to ask was why he had not been in the room the previous November.

Part Two

Reflection

Question 01
Think about a significant deal you lost in the last twelve months where you reached the shortlist. When did you first engage with that account? What stage were they actually at when you entered? What signals, looking back, told you a competitor was already ahead?
Auto-saved as you type
Question 02
For a current opportunity you are actively pursuing: what is your honest diagnosis of where the customer is in their decision journey? Not where they say they are. Not where the process says they are. Where does the weight of evidence suggest they actually are?
Auto-saved as you type
Question 03
In your industry and your market, what would it mean to be present at Trigger or Exploration rather than Evaluation? Who are the people you would need to know? What would you need to offer at that stage to be worth their time before any formal process exists?
Auto-saved as you type
Part Three

Decision Journey Diagnostic

Apply the Decision Journey framework to a live opportunity. Be honest about where the customer actually is, not where you would like them to be.

Stage Diagnosis
Where is this customer in the seven-stage Decision Journey? Use the criteria from the article, not the customer's own language about their timeline. What evidence supports your diagnosis?
Your Entry Point
When did you first engage with this account, and what stage were they at when you entered? What does your entry point tell you about your current standing relative to whoever was there before you?
Competitor Position
What signals suggest a competitor is at a different stage than you? What would a competitor who entered at Exploration know about this customer that you do not know? What has shaped this RFQ or brief that you cannot fully account for?
Stage-Appropriate Action
Given where this customer actually is, what is the right move? Not the move you had planned. The move that fits the stage. What does a customer at this stage actually need from you right now?
What Must Be True
What does this customer need to believe before they will move to the next stage? About their own situation, about the cost of staying where they are, or about you specifically. What are you doing to create the conditions for that shift, and what is getting in the way?
Export your work
Generate a PDF of your completed exercise. Includes your reflection answers and your Decision Journey diagnostic. Use it as preparation before any complex, multi-stakeholder commercial engagement.